• Phuc To

A Surging Wave of Infection Ahead of Thanksgiving Holiday

Updated: Nov 24, 2020



The U.S surpassed 12 million COVID-19 cases last week, and that number continues to climb at a shocking rate, 170,539 cases per day, an increase of 59% from the average rate reported two weeks earlier. The county case rates increase at a devastating rate -- U.S. hot spots map shows no sign of cooling down ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday.


(U.S hot-spot map taken from last week report)



Source: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html



California Latest Trends


Daily Cases in California

Source: https://covid19.ca.gov/state-dashboard/. Additional markings were performed.

Note: The above figures show the number of new cases by day in the State of California (Blue line). The light blue boxes are the actual count, whereas each data point on the lines represents the 7-day average of new cases. The figures captured seven days apart show how the number of daily cases changed over that period. Please note that the range of the y-axis is not the same for both graphs due to the drastic increase in daily cases over the week.


Daily Deaths in California

Source: https://covid19.ca.gov/state-dashboard/. Additional markings were performed.


California reaches the highest daily cases since the start of the pandemic. There was a total of 14,319 new cases reported on November 21st, a 30% increase from last week's daily cases. The daily case rate surpassed the first wave peak within one week. 82,688 more cases were reported since last Sunday. California has 58 counties, and 41 are now in the purple tier as of last Tuesday. The number of death has steadily decreased since August, but it's starting to go back up again. 423 more death were reported since last Sunday.


County Tier Assignment

Source: https://covid19.ca.gov/state-dashboard/

Note: Shown above is the tier assignment updated on November 10th. The Tier assignments are updated weekly every Tuesday. The stars indicate counties that have moved to a higher tier since November 3rd.


We're entering the holiday season with significantly more cases than the last time we entered the first statewide stay-at-home order. To slow the rapid spread, Governor Newson issued a modified stay-at-home order for much of California that went into effect on Saturday (November 21st). The new stay-at-home order focuses more on curbing late-night drinking and group gathering by imposing a 10 p.m. curfew. No nonessential activity outside the home from 10 p.m. to 5 a.m. is allowed in purple tier county. However, the 10 p.m. curfew is perceived as a violation of civil liberties and is met with immediate opposition. On Saturday evening, a couple of hundred protesters gathered in Huntington Beach Pier to defy the state's curfew.




Orange County Latest Trends

Daily Cases & Death in Orange County

Source: https://covid19.ca.gov/state-dashboard/

Numbers do not represent true day-over-day change as these results include cases before yesterday. All-time series data is by reported date (the date information was reported to the California Department of Public Health).

Note: The above figures show the number of new cases by day in Orange County (Blue line) in comparison with the State of California (Grey line). The light blue boxes are the actual count, whereas each data point on the lines represents the 7-day average of new cases.


Orange County reported 552 new cases and three additional deaths on Sunday, bringing the cumulative cases to 69,694. Compared to last week's number, that is an addition of 4469 new cases and 28 deaths. Along with this with the surge of infection in an increase in hospitalization in the past well. The daily death count starts to go up again since the previous increase in September.





Source: https://covid19.ca.gov/state-dashboard/

Note: The figure on the left shows the total number of hospitalized patients by day in Orange County (Blue line). The light blue boxes are the actual count, whereas each data point on the lines represents the 7-day average.






COVID-19 Hot Spots in Orange County

Source: https://www.latimes.com/projects/california-coronavirus-cases-tracking-outbreak/orange-county/








The table above shows the top ten cities with the highest case rates in Orange County. Compared to last week's numbers, cumulative cases and case rates increase across all Orange County hot spots over the past week. Anaheim and Santa Ana remain the two largest hot spots of Orange County. Although they have significantly lower cumulative cases, other cities on the list have a relatively high case rate.


As the number of COVID-19 cases continues to skyrockets, the recent news on vaccine development offers some hope. In addition to Pfizer's mRNA vaccine, we now have another strongly effective mRNA vaccine. The news comes a week after the release of Pfizer's vaccine result. Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine was shown to reduce the risk of COVID-19 infection by 94.5%. In our next article, we will compare the two vaccines and discuss the different vaccine distribution phases.


We're entering the holiday season with the highest daily case number since the start of the pandemic, it's more important than ever to keep up with our best COVID-19 practices. Many families continue to struggle financially as Orange county re-enters the purple tier; please help us spread the word about free testing and other assistance programs available to the community!


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